Back in 2010, the world was a different place. The Labour government had left a crippling deficit, and the government's debt was rising through the fast. All this was piled on top of a stagnant, weak economy that had suffered a catastrophic failure 2 years previously. Nobody knew how to solve the problem, so we voted for a hung parliament, resulting in a coalition.
This coalition was confronted with a poisoned chalice. They had to make a choice to make cuts to protect the government, or invest in an unstable economy that really was not out of the storm. Therefore, they were never going to be popular, especially when they cut the things that we have learned to take for granted. They forced university fees up, leaving a generation wallowing in debt, and generally made themselves ridiculously unpopular.
So, I wrote that the Labour party pretty much had to sit around and wait for the inevitable fall of the coalition, and a general election that would give them a landslide victory. Then, a few months ago, the tide began to change. I began to write about, completely against my expectations, how the Labour party was starting to lose its lead.
And now, in a final nail in the coffin for what I thought was an obvious prediction, the Labour party seems to be falling apart because they don't know what to do. They tried playing it safe, and letting the government get things wrong, and it has really started to backfire now things are starting to go right. The economy is growing, but with a stronger, simpler strength, and the Conservatives are looking like a powerful, competent party.
Life has got a lot harder for the Labour party. The world is showing a hint of rosiness again, and everyone is starting to think that things might be about to get better. Therefore, the people who are saying that we are on the wrong track seem a bit like a bunch of buffoons. If the economy is strong in 2015, then the Labour party will look as irrelevant as the Conservatives did in 2001.
Labour is not going to win by default. It is not going to win by sitting down and letting the Conservatives mess up, because that simply isn't going to happen anymore. And this, even if you are the most diehard Labour fan, which I really am not, is actually a really good thing.
If Labour, or Conservatives for that matter, were given power easily in 2015, then they would be simply rising on the failures on the people behind them. They would not have earned power themselves, and therefore would not have had their policies and ideas laid out for the world to see. A tough fight between the parties would make them both stronger and more competent when it comes to possibly forming the next government.
In reality, we want the parties to really scrutinize each other and have to fight to get into government. A Labour government that has had to face a tough test from the Conservatives would be a better government.
Also, if parliament was shared fairly equally by the parliament, it would mean that the parties would then have to work together to get things done. Even if one party did have a majority, working together would still be required more than if one had a huge victory. If they work together more, then they share expertise, and that means more competence in how the country is run.
Therefore, it is going to be good if this election is going to be close. We don't want anything else, especially as no party has the answer by itself. The Conservatives need to become a mature, competent party in order to push Labour to become a better party, so whichever wins are actually able to take government. It does not really matter who wins, as long as they actually know what they are doing.
I want this election to be a fight.